Where I live (Wiesbaden district)....over the past week, the 7-day incidence rate has bounced around 175 to 194 (yeah, it's a hefty number).
Locally, they will admit dedicated quarantine beds with the city hospital system are filling up....about 90-percent of dedicated beds are occupied.
Newly infected folks for past 24 hours (from last night)....101 (out of population of 283,000.
The city leadership has made a comment or two....that shutdown is a tool, and likely laying on the table at present. Last year, same time period....the infection rate was maybe half of what exists presently.....with not so many folks sitting in the hospital.
If I were taking a humble guess....within three weeks, unless the rates decrease, I tend to believe that a shutdown of 30 to 60 days will occur.
The bothersome part of this? It's simply a repeat of 2020, and people have this gut-feeling that the trend is set into motion without much to change yearly incidence increases.
Any day now, I kinda expect some cult to start up....call it the Covies, where people engage in harsh 'stay-at-home' practices and maintain six feet social distancing around the clock when they leave the home.
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