We are about five weeks away from the state election in Bavaria. If you follow polls and trends.....you can predict the general outcome:
1. The CSU Party ought to pull near 40-percent. There's no doubt that they will be the 'winner'.
2. The Green Party ought to come in second....near the 14-to-16 percent level. A year ago, they would have been four points higher....so they've lost some public sentiment over the past 12 months.
3. The AfD Party will likely place third....very close to the Green Party (say 14-percent).
4. The SPD Party will be lucky to get to the 10-percent, and there's a possibility that the Linke Party (far left) will not get more than two-percent of the vote.
5. The FW Party probably will clear near 13-percent and be a partner of the CSU in the next coalition.
If you asked me on the coalition situation....I'd say the CSU will have enough votes that requires only one partner, and it'll be the FW Party.
On the drama-scale (1-to-10).....I give this election no more than a '3'.
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