I sat and read a piece this AM....suggesting that the Wagner mercenaries (of Russia) might decide that Putin was responsible for the death of their 'boss'....then convoy to Moscow to remove Putin.
It's an interesting scenario, but not that realistic.
How many guys over in Belarus? Generally, the number figured is around 10,000 to 15,000 there, and maybe still 5,000 to 10,000 down at the war zone.
So the question is....could you have a 25,000 mercenary group 'march/convoy' to Moscow and trigger a coup?
I paused over this. Weird crap like this does happen. In 1970s Panama....Noriega escorted the 'fired' General from the David (at the north border) to Panama City, with probably 300 troops....kicking out the newly installed 'bosses'.
I'm not that pepped-up that the police of Moscow want to tangle with Wagner guys, and they'd probably all hitch rides and leave east out of town.
Putin's own 'guard'? I would imagine since past coup episode....they are probably beefed-up, with a minimum of 15,000 in Moscow. Would they stay or run....knowing this was Wagner people?
Would half the population of Moscow leave? Well....that's a curious question....where would they go (talking about a current population of 8-million locally)?
Even if Putin and his 'team' were tossed....then what? Is there any real replacement beyond a Putin-team-member?
Funny scenario.....just makes you wonder how crazy these Wagner people might be.
One final note...isn't this what triggered Hitler and associates to dismantle the Brown-Shirts.....fear that they'd trigger a coup at some point?
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