I'll offer these five observations:
1. Economically, a ton of German business operations, from pubs to cafes....from theaters to restaurants....were left in serious trouble near the end of 2022, as the mandates were terminated.
Some survived....some dissolved.
You won't find anyone in the German business world who has any appreciation of gov't mandates over Covid.
2. The Finance Ministry would likely jerk around the Health Ministry and tell them bluntly....the budget has NO extras to cover the 'help-the-poor-Covid-people' situations this time around. (That war business prevents any big extras in budget-planning).
If you were looking for one hard-core group to be anti-Covid at this point (within the government)....it's the Finance Ministry.
3. From spring of 2021 to the end of 2022....the German government was able to get around 75-percent of the public talked into a vaccination. Based on news accounts and some 'BS-rumors'....about one-percent of the 75-percent folks.....probably didn't get a true vaccination (meaning saline). So they never were truly vaxed-up.
If you said.....line up and get the next vax situation? I have my doubts that it'd go past 50-percent this time around. I also think the threat business (you can't enter a restaurant or get full-service)....won't really work anymore. If anything, bringing back mandates....would just trigger people to hold their money this time, and boycott the economy.
Economically, they can't handle another full season of this.
4. This likely turning into a 'fear-the-flu/Covid-season'? Well....watching Brit and American news....I'd say that's about 90-percent of the trend going on (you need to worry about flu-Covid....saying it's basically the same thing).
But from years past....Germans just weren't that fearful of the flu season, so trying to manipulate the public into a new combined fear....probably won't work.
5. Finally, trying to take Covid-messaging/branding to public TV....onto public forum shows....will get marginal public viewing this time around.
Looking back at 2020/2021, and the amount of forums dedicated to this.....presently, you might get 5-percent of the public willing to watch some hour of Doctor so-V-so hyped-up, arguing with political-Monika and journalist-Gunter. So to suggest via the political system that you need to get hyped-up.....public TV is useless.
Personally, I have no doubt that something will be invented and the trend will go for about four weeks in this direction.....until they realize that the bulk of society just isn't really willing to play the 'games' anymore. Recession-wise.....you'd just be attaching a ten-ton anchor onto a non-swimmer and dragging them down deeper into a recession.
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