Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Saga of Maaßen Ended?

No.

I've essayed a couple of times (recently, yesterday)....over this episode with the President of the Office for the Protection of the Constitution....Hans-Georg Maaßen.  Basically, to make the SPD Party happy....he had to leave his office.  Chancellor Merkel?  She could not bring herself to fire the guy.....so he was promoted 'up' (chief of staff for the Interior Minister....Seehofer).

From last night on TV....just a blaze of commentary and angry SPD Party members.  A fair number want the coalition dissolved, and their partnership ended.  Public TV news giving them plenty of space to chat and hype up the topic. 

What will happen?

I think party members from across Germany will demand a party vote.  When it's done....it might come fairly close to saying the party must end it's relationship with Chancellor Merkel and the CDU/CSU.  The path then?

Well...Merkel could form a coalition with the FDP and Greens, but that was a failure back in December.

The Chancellor could try to run a minority government, but it would be fairly weak and marginalized. Note as well....they've never done that in the history of the German government. 

So the last track is another election.  If they were to end this (say the end of September), there would be an election called for probably late November.  I don't think Merkel would be the face for the CDU Party and that might be a positive.  But the big negative is that the SPD Party is barely at 17-percent right now, and the AfD folks might be able to muster 16-to-18 percent if there were an election.

A whole lot of drama?  Yes.  And here's the curious thing. On any given day....there could be another Chemnitz murder, with immigrants involved, and more riots.  The 'system' is now attached to month after month of disinformation/misinformation, fake news, and drama-without-any-end. 

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