Normally, when the BBC speaks....I tend to urge caution and to review the facts later. This week, the BBC crowd decided that they'd go out and disprove the German AfD commentary about increased murders and assaults by immigrants. It was started as an honest effort (at least I think so). So what happened in the end....the BBC more or less concluded that facts were true, and pretty dismal.
For all of 2017, within Germany, there were 447 actual or attempted murders by migrants, asylum seekers, or immigrants. Violent crimes (includes assaults, rapes, and attempted murder).....generally up over the past three years....facts exist to establish that.
So the AfD was correct? In this episode, with the numbers, yes.
Yes, the violent tendency. Folks argue over this. I would offer four basic 'triggers':
1. Almost ALL of these were committed by young men. You rarely, if ever, will find a case of a young female attempting to murder someone or assault them.
2. If the cops were to apprehend the culprit shortly after the crime and do a drug/alcohol check.....I think the vast majority would show 'something'. I think a large assortment of these young men are drawn to a new habit of alcohol consumption and drug usage, and they can't handle it.
3. Lack of fear over consequences. So you get arrested? Then what? The odds of deportation? It probably won't happen. They've come to realize it. Putting them in jail? For murder charges, it will happen. For lesser assault? The prosecutors and judges don't seem to read off the same page as the police.
4. The non-existence of plan 'A'. Everyone on this immigration/migration route deal....had a plan 'A' to just get to Germany and the new life. But beyond getting to Germany....most didn't grasp the language, the stress, the cost of living, the rules, the limited housing, the ghetto-like existence, and the bureaucracy that exists today in Germany. I think the young men in this case have gotten over the original thrill of arrival....now realizing the less-than-thrilling circumstance they are in.
The bulk of the political crowd in Berlin? I would suggest that they know there's some long-term problems in existence but there's simply no magic formula to resolve the mess, and they simply see the AfD as a 'bull in a crystal-shop'. The public has come to realize and grows frustrated month by month. Just replacing the Chancellor won't really do much.
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