Wednesday, September 30, 2020

Covid Study and Statistics

 The German 'Doctor-Doom' for Covid-19 (Christian Drosten) was asked a question on 'odds of dying', and he made the comment that "Corona deaths in sixty-year olds two-hundred times as likely as a fatal car accident."

But then in referencing this....he notes it's a US study....not a German study.

I paused over this.  

If you Google-up the data, there were a total of 3,059 traffic deaths in Germany.  If you did the simple math....that would mean around 600k deaths must have occurred in Germany.  Well....presently since day one, for all of Germany, we are at 9,843 deaths.  This means we are missing around 590k dead people so far.  

Also, this odd factor figures into this statistical 'crap'.....in my new Audi A5 or the 14-year old Audi TT....if I (age 61) were in an accident....it would be nearly impossible to kill me or any occupant of the car.  Both cars are made out of real steel, and have enough safety items put into them....to take on death opportunities and ensure I survive.

Maybe if you were in a cheaply built Dodge from the 1980s, or the new Fiat 500 type car....yeah, you've got great odds of dying in a fatal car accident.

It's a poorly designed study, and probably ought to be laughed about in the end.

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