Sunday, September 13, 2020

Germany: 2040 (My Predictions)

 Opening up my crystal ball, I'm making these ten predictions over Germany in the next twenty years.

1.  Somewhere along 2030, an exodus of immigrants into Germany since 2013.....will have a exit strategy.  Approximately 1k new immigrants per month....pack up and leave Germany...returning to their homeland.

Chief reasons?  Discovery of massive taxes, inner cities where they settled become more disenchanting, general high cost of living, ghetto-like life, and marginalized apartment situations (unaffordable).

2.  A major crisis will have developed in 2021 with large number of Germans put in unemployment status in the car industry.  More than 120k Germans will be pink-slipped in 2021 alone, and it will create a wave that burdens national politics for at least five years.

Added to it, from the tourism industry, another 100k are set on a course of long-term unemployment (maybe up to five years) because of Covid-19 limitations.

3.  The German car makers.....BMW, VW, Mercedes, Opel and Audi....are shocked over the quick advancement of Tesla, and the rapid sale routine they pursue.  Tesla by 2025, are the number one E-car group in Germany.  BMW admits that a billion Euro is at stake within their company because of the success of Tesla.  

4.  The anticipation of the E-cars taking off by 2022?  Highly discussed by Berlin politicians.  Gas/Diesel enthusiasts simply refuse to get into the E-car 'thrill'.  The best that the E-car sales crowd can say is that one out of five new cars sold are E-cars.  The negative?  By 2025, one out of every three Germans who had held a E-car since 2015....are retreating back to gas/diesel cars.  Various issues are hindering the advancement of the E-car concept.

5.  A Status-of-Forces agreement problem erupts in early 2021, with Trump delivering an ultimatum to Chancellor Merkel to fix the problem.  Days later, Trump delivers the exodus order and all US troops in Germany are to be gone at the end of 2021.  

The trigger to this decision is taken up by a truth-committee from the Bundestag, and it discovers that there was some fault by the Merkel government in handling the agreement, and blames shifts over to the CDU-CSU and SPD Party.  Votes are shaken in the 2021 national election in Germany, with the Green Party getting a majority of votes, and a Green Chancellor ends up occurring by the end of 2021.

6.  By 2040, it's widely seen that 50k Germans per year are exiting the country.  They blame significant rules/laws on commerce, unaffordable lifestyles, massive taxation, and poor schooling standards in the metropolitan cities. 

7.  Somewhere between 2030 and 2035, with the last of the nuke plants shutdown....it's discovered that approximately 5-percent of German electrical power consumed is imported from France and Czech, and is itself nuke-power created.  A vast amount of news coverage occurs over this admission, and the power companies admit that wind and solar power can't produce enough for the grid.

8.  Somewhere between 2030 and 2040, the SPD is regarded as a 'dead' party, with less than 7-percent of the nation now supporting the party.  At this point, they forge a effort to bring the SPD and Linke Party into one political party.

9.  A disability situation will be announced in Germany by 2023 for long-term sufferers of Covid-19.  At least 3k Germans will be put on this early retirement program in the initial year. By 2030, around 25k Germans will be Covid-retired and receiving a marginalized pension over this.

10.  A new political party will appear around 2030 to 2035, with the sole promise of dismantling public TV (ARD/ZDF) or to bring it to a lesser cost angle.  It will affect the national election by getting almost 10-percent of the national vote.....strictly over one single agenda.  

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