Well....here's the key point, they figure currently....for each newly infected guy/gal, there's likely in the range of four people who will be infected before tests are done to quarantine guy/gal number one. So you can do the math as a German politician and come to realization that in about four weeks (end of January)....ALL HELL WILL BREAK LOOSE, unless you put people on shutdown status.
Omikron being more of active situation than regular Covid or Delta? Well....yeah, that also figures into this.
So the script says that at this peak (figure the entire month of Feb....basic services, deliveries, fire and police support, and medical help....will be hit and miss.
It's not that they all need hospitalization....just that each single person will figure into a ten to fifteen home-quarantine/recovery situation.
Garbage pick-up? I figure at least one or two pick-up's in Feb for my village....simply won't occur because there's not enough crew to make it happen.
Postal delivery? I would estimate that three to five days in Feb....will be non-postal days because there's just not enough personnel around.
Grocery operations? The local grocery will be open but the crew of ten or so folks stocking shelves and clerking? There might just be three or four people there....running a marginal operation.
Train scheduled screwed up? It wouldn't surprise me a quarter of all schedule trains for a week or two are cancelled because of a lack of drivers.
Trying to get a medical appointment via my local clinic doctor? I might get the message that he and his four nurses are out and won't be recovered for ten days.
This is what I expect.
It's not doom or gloom.....you just accept the fact that this is going to slide through the local community and deliver six weeks of harsh reality.
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