1. How many parties are running? Well.....11. In the mix....from the top three: Marine Le Pen (National Rally), Valérie Pécresse (Les Républicains), and Emmanuel Macron (La République en Marche!). Remaining group? Fabien Roussel (French Communist Party) Jean-Luc Mélenchon (La France Insoumise) Christiane Taubira (Radical Party of the Left) Anne Hidalgo (Socialist Party) Arnaud Montebourg (L'Engagement) Yannick Jadot (Europe Écologie) Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (Debout la France) and Éric Zemmour (Reconquête).
2. Day of the first round? 10 April.
3. After the top three....does anyone really have much of a chance? NO. There are two individuals who appear to be pulling 10-percent, but the rest are generally in the 1-to-5 percent range.
4. Odds of Macron in the final two election? I'd put it at 99.9-percent chance at this point.
5. Valérie Pécresse potentially the 'giant-killer'? Well.....she has to get second place in this primary, and that's a pretty big 'IF' at this point.
6. Are the French disgruntled over Macron? I would suggest that around 70-percent of the nation has some reason to be negative over Macron and the past five years. For every positive thing that you can hand to Macron....there's some negative accomplishment as well. Yet, there is this 50-50 odds that Le Pen will be the opposing candidate in the final election, and no one is that thrilled over her being the President of France.
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