Wednesday, January 19, 2022

What'll Happen in Germany During the First Seven Days of Russian Incursion Into Ukraine?

 1.  Fair amount of chaos on German public TV, with Covid getting dumped entirely for several days.

2.  National natural gas shortage likely to be openly discussed, with Russia turning off the remainder of the gas flow.  Germans, I think, will be asked to reduce their home temperature to 18 C (64 F).

3.  Fair discussions on what Germany can militarily do.  Greens (part of the coalition) will not agree to deploy.  

4.  This discussion of forward deployment of nuke missiles into Belarus will intensify.  

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