Officially, on the books, unless a failure of the coalition occurs....it's September of 2025 for the next federal election in Germany.
Where polls stand today?
CDU-CSU would win with around 31-percent of the national vote.
AfD (the right-wing guys) would place 2nd with 17.5-percent.
The SPD and Greens? 14.5 and 11.5-percent....meaning they'd take around a quarter of the national votes (probably half of 2021's vote).
The FDP? Marginally there with 5-percent.
The new BSW Party? 8.5-percent.
The coalition problem? There's not enough votes for the CDU-CSU to lead alone....so they have to partner. With the SPD alone? I doubt if it'd reach 50-percent or more....so there would have to be a 3rd partner....probably the FDP.
If the FDP failed to get 5-percent? This is the tricky scenario.....I doubt if the CSU Party wants to discuss a partnership with the Greens.
If you think things are complicated now....it just gets worse.
Things changing in a year? Lot of people think BSW will eventually get around 12-percent.....taking votes off the Greens and SPD.
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