Friday, October 15, 2021

Cannabis Chatter in Germany

 Since the election....it's almost daily chatter now going on....how cannabis will be legalized by the incoming Scholz government (SPD-Greens-FDP).

N-TV picked up the topic this morning.

The pieces and parts to the chatter?  You have to go and legalize cultivation and farming....connected to marijuana/cannabis, as the first step.

Then you have to allow transport around Germany....via some type of license.

Finally, you have to allow a legal sales shop atmosphere to exist (like in Amsterdam).

The amount on a sale?  This has conflicting views....some folks think that 15 grams is the max (FDP Party position).  Some folks suggest a max of 30 grams (the Green Party).  I should note here....at any shop in Amsterdam....5 grams is the normal max.  Thirty grams?  Even a daily-smoker probably would have enough for two weeks minimum.

What the German government says about occasional-smokers (at least once a month) of cannabis in numbers?  They suggest 1.2-million.  On the number they mention....I'd suggest it's way off, and just in a urbanized location like Frankfurt....probably 20-percent of the adult population is the occasional user.

As for taxation?  Somewhere in this legalization effort....they have to cover the tax issue, and this might be the shocker to users....that with legalization and taxation....you might be paying the standard price today (being illegal) and 10-percent more on top of that for taxes.  

How I expect this to go?  A commission gets formed in January, to evaluate the Amsterdam model of rules/regulations.  By April, they report back, and by May....cultivation and movement rules are in place, with shops able to open (by license form) by mid-summer of 2022.  Yes, Amsterdam-like coffee shops open in Berlin, Hamburg, and Frankfurt by late-summer.  The only shock?  Illegal sales still being cheaper than the legal sales?  Yeah, that's my general prediction.  Oh, and 15 to 30 gram limit?  It'll never occur....it'll be something like 5 to 10 grams per purchase.  

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