Sunday, October 15, 2023

The Odds Of US Installations In Germany Going Away?

 We are at an interesting point where the SPD (left-of-center) chatter, along with the Green Party chatter, and AfD Party positions (far-right) are centered on the US installations going away, and this present majority is more than 50-percent combined.  

Yeah, it's an odd thing where the left and far-right agree on something.

If you asked me of this 'change' coming in the next ten years?  I'd respond and say it's probably higher than a 50-percent chance.  

Would the US leave Europe entirely?  I doubt it.....there's at least three or four countries (Poland in the mix) that would be easily motivated to take a US base or two.  

As long as Russia exists in the present form, and representing something 'more' of a threat....there's likely to be a significant US presence in Europe. 

Is the current footprint a lot smaller than fifty years ago?  OH YES.  You can go and list the installations that existed in the 1960s/1970s....more than half have gone away entirely.  If you go to Darmstadt or Hanau....a lot of Army posts have been changed into German housing.  

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