Well....it's a curious trend.
The Greens and FDP parties are having various meetings, and basically building a 'all-or-nothing' script....so when the SPD Party finally sits down with them....it's going to be a complete list of cabinet posts, expectations, and priorities. The odds that the SPD will be unhappy with this script? I'd say it's a 99-percent chance of that presently.
I would even go and say that the FDP-Green agenda will force the SPD into a corner....either they accept this, or they fall back to build the coalition around CDU-CSU folks.
The fact that there five or six very serious topics which the Greens and FDP can't agree upon? Well....this is continually brought up now. For example....the FDP doesn't want a national policy on the rental 'brake', while the Greens do. The FDP also doesn't want a long list of tax increases, while the Greens have a list of taxation ideas.
However, if these two work out the serious topics.....I'd say at that point that the SPD is in a world of hurts for coalition-building.
What happens if they fall back to the CDU-CSU situation? Well....it's hard to see Laschet still being the chief talker for the CDU-CSU group, and he'll likely be edged out (my humble opinion). For the SPD to get their top ten promises accomplished with this coalition? It becomes a pretty harsh environment.
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