Friday, November 20, 2015

The 900,000 Number

The head of Bavaria's Interior Ministry (Joachim Herrmann) made an announcement late yesterday......on the night prior, they hit 900,000 registered refugees, immigrants, or asylum seekers for 2015.

We are of course at the third week of November and there's probably enough time....even in this winter season.....to see another 50,000 arrive by the end point.

Now, before you get excited and that's great compared to the 1.2 million that was talked about in September, there's this one little note that you ought to sit and ponder about.

Ever since September's leadership decision in Germany that Syrians are the only ones with the golden ticket (most likely to be accepted), there's been numerous comments made by the German authorities that various incoming refugees aren't registering.  Why would you even bother registering and showing up at their refugee centers or camps......if your odds of being accepted are less than 10-percent?

So, these people skip the registration step and just continue into the country.....find a cousin or friend who has papers.....and stay with them.  They will eventually work up false papers or just work on the 'black' (under the table) and create a secondary problem that the Berlin crowd will discover within twelve months.

As happy as the news moderator from the state-run network might be over this number news, it doesn't mean very much because of people skipping registration.  How many people really came in 2015?  You will never know.  It might be 950,000 at this point.....it might be one-million.....it might be 1.2 million.  You just don't know.

2 comments:

LizanneFan said...

"So, these people skip the registration step and just continue into the country.....find a cousin or friend who has papers.....and stay with them. They will eventually work up false papers or just work on the 'black' (under the table) and create a secondary problem that the Berlin crowd will discover within twelve months."

Sounds like the "undocumenteds" here in the States. Berlin might wake up in a year but today's Washington, DC will never do so.

R Hammond said...

The one odd difference between the US and Germany....Germany has a small army of audit-like guys who go and look for undocumented workers at work sites. Typically though....it's construction sites or bordellos that they walk into....not restaurants or butcher shops. They will claim they work hard on preventing work on the 'black', but there's probably a quarter-million undocumented workers daily working in Germany on something.