Over the past month, the AfD Party (the anti-migrant or anti-immigrant stance party) has run into issues within it's party.
It's now obvious that two groups are splitting the party....one centered on a far-right extreme position. And the other centered on a moderate-right position.
The odds that the two will split the party? At this point, I would suggest it's more than likely to occur....probably before we get to December of this year. There are several state elections occurring in the spring of 2021, and this will likely affect the outcome there.
So here's the thing....right now, while regionally, they might get up to the 20-to-25 percent range in two or three states.....throughout the rest of Germany....it's down around the six to ten percent range.
I might go and suggest that out of this 13-percent range that they have in polling....half of these voters would prefer to vote for another party but they have a complaint about the refugee business, and find that neither the CDU or SPD parties have a handle on the situation.
In the case if a split occurs? I might suggest that you can carve off 3 to 5 points from the 13-percent, and the new 'other' AfD Party might only achieve 3 to 4 percent nationally (meaning no seats), and the real AfD Party might barely achieve six percent in voting (meaning a small number of seats).
The end of the AfD Party? Unless some crisis occurs or mass migration goes back into a turbo-blast situation.....yes, you might be seeing an end to the party over the next three years.
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