We are around ten months away from two significant state elections in Germany (March 2021: Baden-Wurttemberg, and the Pfalz....the two southern states of Germany).
Six months ago, I would have said that the Green Party would be able to achieve a significant amount of votes in both elections.
Today? No. The SPD will likely recover....mostly because of strong leadership actions during the recent crisis period.
In the case of Baden-Wurttemberg, I suspect that the CDU will come out (say 5 points over the 2nd place folks) as a winner, with the SPD marginally ahead of the Greens. Yes, the Greens might actually lose 10 points over 2016's election.
In the case of the Pfalz, I suspect that the SPD should clearly take 32-percent or more of the ballots, with the CDU fairly close to 30-percent themselves.
More gain votes because of practical demonstrations during the crisis. The Greens? It's pretty crazy....there they were in the summer of 2019....looking great, and Habeck thinking he might squeeze the Chancellor's job out of the direction things were going.
It's hard to say that the virus benefited some political situation....but in this case, yes, it did.
No comments:
Post a Comment