Economically, there's some modest problems going on, with regular inflation (probably higher than 10-percent), and a number of Kremlin characters who aren't really in tune with commerce or reality.
But lets be honest, this is simply the beginning. Once you get to the mid-summer point, and Russians view the landscape....most will agree that the economy is in some freefall, with Putin only able to print more Rubles. This stage of printing could carry the nation for two years easily, but inflation merely doubles up in this state of fakeness.
The ending? I'm one of the belief that he's got some health issues and probably on the last two years of his life, with a belief that he can do something legendary to carry his legacy forward....getting monuments made for himself.
Then some idiot from the inner circle gets the call, and thinks he can rectify the economy. Two years of that....will just bring us to the full circle, back to the day that Putin passed on, and people grumbling.
In my scenario....a full decade will pass and somewhere around 2032....there's some agenda presented by people around St Petersburg to just let them go separate and like Nordic empire (like Finland). Eventually, they will be given some kind of status, to be on their own, and shock people by success.
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