Friday, April 22, 2022

The War: 22 Apr 2022

 1.  Some chatter on N-TV today in Germany.....belief spoken by Kremlin critic Navalny.  He says there's likely to be a coup-like setting being discussed...driven by insiders....more than protest folks.  

Fact-based?  No....just his humble opinion.  

I would suggest that virtually everyone connected to the government on economics or commerce affairs.....has a pretty 'sour' attitude about Putin's little operation, and has developed a negative attitude about where this will end up in the end.

2.  The Ministry of Defense for Russia stood up last night, and corrected the military dead slide for Russia.  

Total solders dead for Russia: 17,000 (more or less).   But then they added....there's seven-thousand soldiers that they can't find (might be prisoners, might be deserters, or might be dead).  So the discussion goes to around 24,000.  

My humble belief.....if they come to admit this number....then it's likely that it's only marginally correct, and it might go up to 30k or more.

3.  German Chancellor Scholz in trouble?  In the past week....the delivery of weapons to the Ukraine came up, and it's obvious that the Germans are stalling on some deliveries.  Explanation?  No.....it would appear that certain people are just stalling the delivery. 

Most political folks seem to be grinning and looking at Scholz in some funny way....as if he is the guy pushing this stall-agenda.

4.  Off N-TV this morning.....some mental experts in Germany....say that from Ukrainian arrivals....one out of three has some PTSD or depression issue....requiring help.

If you ask me....if you could examine the Russian conscripts and their families.....same issue going on as well.

5.  This idea of a fake-referendum 'vote' for Russian independence around Kherson and Zaporizhia, Ukraine?  Someone has a list of registered voters (don't ask how) and they seem to suggest that x-number would show up....vote, and then be 'free'.

If this list of registered voters became public knowledge later?  It'd be a likely target list for Ukrainian government folks to go after some folks.

6.  This picture yesterday of Putin meeting the Defense Chief?  I watched the video....maybe 60 seconds long.  Putin has his right hand in a 'grip' in a full view of the camera....continual movement noticed with his muscles of the hand.  Just looked odd.....like he needed to grip the table rather than rest his hand on his leg.

7.  Anton Hofreiter (Green Party) is appearing almost nightly on German TV and seems to present more of a Chancellor image than Scholz (SPD Party). Last night, he said that he expects the war to continue on.....through a minimum of the summer, and unless some things change....he expects a play on other countries beyond the Ukraine.  

If there were an election now within Germany?  The SPD would be lucky to carry 20-percent of the vote, and with Hofreiter as the Chancellor-candidate for the Greens....I think they could easily get up around 30-percent of the national vote.  

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