Are We Looking At the Final Part of the Ukraine 'War'?

 I noticed this morning several military analysts looking at the only viable way Putin can end his campaign, and 'cap' a victory.  Their basic summary?  To stage a serious frontal action over on the far east area of the Ukraine....around Donetsk and Luhansk.  

In this effort to take the two districts....whatever remains from the northern front (marginalized now because of losses of tanks, and manpower)...would be refocused and these two districts would be the 'crown jewel' of victory.  Then he'd get the Ukraine to sign a treaty and just end this military action.

My general take on the idea?  I do agree....it's about the only viable 'end' to the story, but the question is....would Zelenskyy sign such a treaty at this point?  I'd also ask....wouldn't the anti-tank missiles and Stingers just be moved to the eastern district....with a new frontal situation developed there?

At this point, if you count pure dead, captured, wounded, lost, deserted Russian personnel.....it wouldn't surprise me if the number from the northern campaign was around 20,000.  On the eastern and southern side....it's anyone's guess.  I noticed from one phone call intercept....where a Russian wife was asking about this husband's unit....he says something to the effect that half don't exist (they just aren't there to be counted anymore).  His unit has no real effectiveness left.  

I think part of this restaging effort in the north....is about a bean-counting situation where commanders have to admit equipment and manpower losses, and some general tells the Kremlin a accurate count.  It's an unpleasant situation and Putin is probably ballistic about this.....but I think his insider group want an end path to the economic mess.  

So the real question is.....if a major front opens now on Donetsk and Luhansk (say a pretty massive effort)....will a four-week battle occur, with more massive losses for the Russians, or will some weird peace treaty come out of this?

To stir the pot a bit.....those guys you pulled out the northern front (the survivors)....will they have any courage or willpower left to go back into battle formation and take orders from the same leadership on a second 'go-around'?  I'm not betting on that, and I'd anticipation their will-power pretty drained.  

All of this seen as a positive by NATO?  Well....yeah.  What you don't want is a viable Russian Army still able to march onto western region....say Moldovia and Romania.  This month-long battle to likely start-up now....ought to drain the last potential out of the Russian Army.