There's a research paper floating around right now....mostly read by medical folks, some political folks, and a couple of journalists. The paper was a joint effort by RKI (the brains people over viruses), Ethikrat (the national ethics council of Germany), and Leopoldina (a German sciences academy).
The topic of this paper? Will Germans step up and take the Covid-19 vaccine when it's finally delivered?
Any facts behind the paper? No one says that. But they seem to have asked a number of people and found that only about 60-percent of Germans seem willing right now to take the Covid-19 vaccine.
If you did the math, that would 50-odd-million of the 83-million residents....seem to have this willingness or 'courage'.
Why not a 99-percent number? It's not that clear and I suspect that the group that did the polling....may not have a reliable number.
But let's go to the problem here.....what if only 55-million volunteered for the vaccine (at least on the first run-around)? What do you do about the rest? Do you hold kids out of school, unless they get it? Do you put the police on some enforcement duty? Forbidden travel outside of Germany (can you even enforce that)?
Let's also add on....at some point, they will admit that the first round of vaccinations will only cover six to twelve months, and that this will be a yearly thing (minimum). Do you step up on the 2nd and 3rd occasions? If you had a bad reaction on the first vaccination....are you willing to go back for the other vaccinations?
For months, getting to the vaccination was the entire agenda of the German government and stressed over and over....it was moment of 'relief' that the public needed. If you admit to the country that 16-million Germans refuse the vaccine? Well....it won't go well.
The problems if you admit every eight to ten months....another vaccination will be necessary? People will start to ask stupid questions, and selling the vaccination will become more difficult.
I'm guessing a number of the top political figures are gazing over this study, and now asking questions which can't be readily answered.
2 comments:
I love how people can't accept that there are people smarter than them. Maybe if you refuse to take it and have a car accident, the ambulance can just poll twitter for your course of treatment. Our take you to the nearest pub for some good old fashioned common sense advice from the elderly folk within.
Based on what I've read with past vaccines delivered to the German public (over the past hundred years)....you usually didn't have a big deal (peer-pressure and local politicians stating facts was enough). In 1874, the first national vaccine situation occurred (Smallpox), and this went without much anti-pox sentiment.
Part of this attitude issue might circle back to anti-flu vaccine behavior. For this past year, the number of flu shots given are around 20-to-25 million (way less than the 83-million in population).
In the end, I'll be curious what regulation is created for the parties not interested. Me? I'll take it but it won't be in the first 30-million group.
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