Friday, November 18, 2022

Germany: Six News Stories: 18 November 2022

 1.  I sat and read through some propaganda-like material appearing in the German news.  They passed on this story....coming from Russians (not Ukrainians). 

So the story goes....around 400 Russian reservists reached a point where they refuse to fight.  Lot of conflicts here....basically, they get one meal a day....their uniforms are crap......no winter gear....no real medical attention.  So the 400 got taken (at gun-point) to the basement of some building in Ukraine....ordered to remove their clothing and hand over their cellphones.  One guy managed to keep his cellphone, and this story is unfolding in the Russian press.

BS-factor?  I have to give it a '7' but it could be potentially true.  

When you look at the Russian military establishment....in terms of supporting the guy on the ground, it's absolutely marginal.  The response from the political system....why would they baby-sit these people or waste money on them.  

2.  Focus piece this AM....suggests natural gas prices will jump in early January 2023 by 53-percent.  Electricity?  It's forecasted to jump potentially up 61-percent.  

3.  Another Focus item this AM.....just in general, the car parts industry in Germany is in a sour situation, with a parts shortage likely to occur.  They even went to suggest that Mercedes could be a candidate for bankruptcy if the trend continues.

4. The commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards....stated that Germany is the 'great Satan'.  

Some Germans will laugh it off....saying for 2,000 years....the region has been Satanish.  

5.  Wolfgang Schäuble, retired CDU Party player.....gave an interview yesterday.  Probably one of the three most respected German political people of the past twenty years.

Asked about the Russia problem (natural gas).....he responds "We didn't want to see it." 

In a sense, all these signs were there for twenty years, and they were always at a dependency situation.....having to believe that the Russians weren't that bad, when they were. 

6.  Snow forecasts?  If you gaze at the weekend prediction....top one-third of Germany will get some snowfall.  I do agree, for the central region, unusual amount of rainfall in the past three months, with moderate temperatures.  

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