NDR (public TV for NW Germany) did a fine scenario report on natural gas reserves, and how good/bad the situation may reach. I strongly recommend a read.
So, to the worst case scenario? Well....it'll hit zero reserves in mid-Feb.
Best case scenario? It'll never hit zero, but bottom out in April at 10-percent of reserves existing.
A lot dependent on weather? A fair number of experts over the past two or three months have hinted at this single issue.
Zero reserves? At that point, a significant amount of commerce/production in the commercial markets will just halt....meaning that the economy will tank in a big way.
Pressure on the SPD-Green-FDP coalition? In this zero reserves case....yeah, this would a wedge which they could not overcome, and it'd be the reality factor to boost up the AfD Party polls. I'm not saying this is a positive thing....just that politicians have only a limited amount of solutions that they can apply at this point.
Over the last weekend, I noted a fair number of craftsmen in the fireplace/chimney business are getting phonecalls....asking for estimates of what'd it cost to install a chimney situation in their house. It won't come cheap, and it might be a schedule requiring you to wait an entire year to get the renovation.
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