Thursday, November 17, 2022

Three Observations

 1.  A 'forever' war brewing with Russia and Ukraine?  

For Putin and whoever follows him, selling this 'Nazis-in-the-Ukraine' doesn't do much except promise a significant amount of GDP has to be spent on the war, and restocking when the war ends (if anytime in the next ten years). 

Russia would make the GDP (shorting public projects) if they were still selling oil, natural gas, and coal to Europe.  But they aren't selling presently.

Selling to non-European customers?  Maybe, but you need five to ten years to build the pipes to deliver the products.  The technology to do the pipes?  Mostly Europe and US made.....so that's not a favorable position.  The ships to bring in the customers?  They all require insurance and the big names are European or American. 

In short terms?  Russia, with Putin's fantasy....can't rate as any first or second tier country status.  The 'forever' war script is writing a pretty miserable period for the next forty years.

2  WELT today wrote a pretty damming piece over Deutsche Post (the mail service of Germany).  Lateness for letters and packages has become routine over the couple of years.

The meaning of late in Germany?  Typically, in the 1980s/1990s....if you mailed a letter by 5 PM on Monday....from any location in Germany, the letter got there by mid-afternoon on Wednesday.  Today?   I'd say it's hit and miss....with a third of the letters not arriving until Friday....perhaps even as late as Saturday.  

Chief reason?  I think Covid has restacked the outcome of mail movement in Germany.  I've actually had three days here in 2022....where no mail delivery guy operated because of illness and a shortage of employees.  

Fixing or resolving this?  Other than getting used to it.....nothing much.

3.  The 'head' of the German Office for the Protection of the Constitution (Germany's FBI) said today that the 'Last Generation' climate activists do not deserve review by his office.....as they are no more than criminals....not extremists.

One can laugh over the tone....there's no doubt in his mind, they are violating law and deserve some court time.  But he's not convinced they are in the standard like the old Red Army Faction.  

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