Monday, September 26, 2022

Should Anyone Get Worried About The Italian Election Results?

 If you watch German public TV (ARD or ZDF), then yes, you ought to be very worried about the evil fascists coming to power.

So to the reality, and my four observations:

1.  Rarely do any Italian coalitions survive two years before falling apart....going back to WW II.  So the odds are that this coalition will fail as well (probably in 12 to 18 months).

The Conti coalition number 1, the Conti coalition number 2, and the Draghi coalition group.....all ultimately failed.

2.  Italian unemployment is near 7.9-percent currently, and it's hard to generate jobs in the current atmosphere....so the public is going to marginally give the new coalition time to restack the deck.

3.  Last year (2021), 145,000 migrants/refugees came to Italy.  There's never been a clear picture by anyone (journalists, political figures, etc)....as to the success or failure of the program, and some might suggest that more than half left Italy for Germany.  

The right-wing folks opening the gate, for these migrants to travel to Germany?  It's talked about but mostly BS.  If you see an open-door and Germans hyped-up?  Then you might ask for real numbers, and see what's said.

4.  Finally, the new gov't might cease on the idea of halting the arrival of migrants to Italian ports.  If that happens.....the EU will react and say this cannot happen. Italy will respond with some 'screw-you', and for some brief period.....the rescue ships will dock in France.  

Yeah, if you were French and irked by more refugees.....this next year might be rough.  

What the German public TV folks might be worried about?  The first year of the SPD-Green-FDP coalition is closing out shortly, and it's not much to brag about.  This could easily influence state elections over 2023 and 2024.  

2 comments:

M1-19k said...

The Italian people have the right to take back their sovereignty from the geniuses in Brussels. And Ursula von der leyen has always been absolutely useless, she almost single-handedly destroyed the German military when she was the secretary of defense. The globalist will no longer determine Italy’s future.

Schnitzel_Republic said...

I would not give von der Leyen total credit on dissolving capability of the Bundeswehr...for well over 20 years, the budget has been cut and it leads back to Merkel and Schroeder. Getting rid of the various logistical hubs and going to one central facility has been the key turning point, with this one mega-warehouse system seeming to be a massive failure in operating.

As for Italy, there's been key problems brewing for a decade, and the left-of-center folks had used gimmicks with marginal effect. If the EU tries to treat this government like Hungary or Poland...then it probably will create a crisis period for Brussels.