Yesterday, some Brit military analyst brought up the known fact that back in the mid-summer period....Putin signed a document to flip reservist-held hardware (tanks, artillery, trucks, APCs, etc) to the 'front'.
There's not much said after that point.
My general belief is that the best of the reservist gear was moved, and what was not moved then.....was 'crap'. If true, then this activation of 300,000 has a serious empty hole presently.
Does Putin realize that? I might question how the story was told to him, and some generals might have held the bad news back, when doing this in the summer period.
So, onto the second odd thing.....there's an awful lot of chatter that some border shutdown will occur by the end of the next weekend.
In the old days, Russia (the Soviet Union) had a border control, with significant numbers of personnel to do the job. After the Soviet Union dissolved.....that was one of the cutbacks.
I think it's entirely possible that some portion of the 300,000 (maybe 20k, maybe 50k, maybe even 100k) will be sent to various 'posts' and the old border-guard will be put into business.
How long were the 300,000 supposed to be activated? Most comments indicate 12 months.
What happens after the 12 months? No one says much.
I would suggest that as badly as the war has gone....the general interest in Russians leaving the country has now moved up on the worry-scale for Putin, and they can't afford to see the brain-power of the nation leave.
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