Tuesday, September 20, 2022

What Does All This Russia Mobilization Chatter Mean?

 Basically, if Russia was going to full-scale war, with all military assets put into play, then Putin would need mobilization to occur, which means MORE conscripts.  

In simple terms, they'd go out and draft a number (probably over 100,000 folks) and run them through a short boot-camp, and issue uniforms (probably the bare minimum necessary).  

The general slam against this?  Well....logistically....speaking of trucks, jeeps, fuel vehicles, APCs, and tanks.....they've expended a significant amount of equipment.  If I were a Russian general, I'd gaze at the 'tunnel' approaching and question how you'd conduct this war with more manpower, but marginal hardware.

The Duma going along with this?  Maybe back in April, they would have hopped onto this idea and signed up.  But at this point?  I'd say more than half of them don't see how this would do much with most of the tanks lost so far in the war.  

How would a bigger ground war work at this point?  I think some generals would be given the job of marching 30-odd thousand troops from three angles, and try to carry out a bare minimum front, without much in terms of tank support.  Lack of training being a problem as well?  Yeah.

This whole thing reminds me of the UK-Falklands War, and how Argentina fell apart.  

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