Between now and the end of the year, I think the 'operation' will come to a closure, in a rapid two-week fashion. I see five things occurring:
1. Massive missile/artillery effort against remaining logistical 'hubs' left for Russian forces.
2. Some effort in the Crimea with at least a thousand Ukrainian soldiers landing and carrying out an assault. Civilians (mostly Russians) will head to the bridge to evacuate the isle.
3. At least five to ten generals in Moscow quietly disappearing (likely leaving for Greece or Turkey).
4. The Duma calling for hearing with Putin, with Putin being lectured that he has to appear.
5. At least half the troops in the Ukraine for Russia now refusing to act because of lacking ammo/shells or adequate winter gear.
The final turning point will be some police being ordered by the Duma to stand down and refuse Putin's orders.
All of this will occur in quick succession.
Some dramatic end with a non-Putin individual picked to temporarily take charge? I would suggest that.
The peace agreement? It'll go with some indication of troops gone....some rebuilding funds, and a promise to hand over approximately forty individuals for war crimes (limiting the effect that hundreds ought to be up for war crimes). In exchange, the sanctions have to be lifted in a matter of days (not weeks).
The propagandized Russians? They will stand in shock how the event unfolds and in disbelief that Putin is removed from power.
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