Saturday, November 7, 2020

Germany and Covid-19: 7 Nov 2020

 1.  My local health department (Wiesbaden) made a rule up....the minute they notify you of a positive result on the Covid-test, you have to leave wherever you are, and go home.  No stopping for groceries or anything. So added to the rule....everyone in your apartment/house, has to also leave immediately for home, even if they haven't been tested.  All parties are on a 14-day quarantine at that point.  

2.  It's reported via Focus this morning that the German Federal Constitutional Court has received 500-plus 'complaints' and has a fair amount of work to handle over the coming days....all related to Covid-19 ban rules. 

3.  New infections reported over a 24-hour period ending last night (Friday): 23,069.  Highest level for a 24-hour period since day one.  Majority of infections?  Bavaria, NRW and Baden-Wurttemberg. 

4.  Nationwide: 2,753 ICU beds being used at this point (100 more than yesterday).

5. One story circulating around centers on the Koln health department, which has been overwhelmed on issues.

It appears that around 800 local folks have tested positive but the center to call and notify folks is way behind schedule.  So some folks are still working, while the health department hasn't been able to get to the notification point yet.  Yes, in effect....it helps to transmit the virus even more.

6.  Here in Hessen, since day one....they've handed out 8,000-plus fines for violations (public TV HR is reporting this).  I should note, this is the state police or state health authorities.  You could have local district authorities going at their angle as well, and there could be thousands more not on the state list.

7.  The Frankfurt University Clinic put out an estimate (not really factual)....that one out of every ten Germans is having serious depression trouble over Covid-19 issues.  

8.  Finally, the trend 'line' for new infections continuing up, even after the new ban rules went into place?  Most experts were already predicting this ten days ago.  Their prediction was that with the new bans....things would hit a max around the middle of the month (figure a daily rate of around 35k per day at that point), and then lessen by the third week.

If it doesn't lessen?  That's a curious scenario.  The ban-lite list would continue on at the end of the month, and by 1 December....you'd probably be hitting near 50k new infections per day.  At that point, the ICU bed situation would definitely be a problem.  This week, the German hospital system admitted that trained/capable nurses were now at the limit.  


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