Tuesday, April 5, 2022

Why Birth Rates Matter

 For the record, if you go and dig up 2019 numbers....the birth-rate for Russia was roughly 1.5....meaning one couple produced 1.5 kids....not 2.....so their population decline is obvious.

Ukraine?  It's worse....1.23 for each couple.

Why the problem in Russia?  Some people go and suggest that the male-to-female ratio is crappy....meaning there's just not that many men to women.  Recent deal?  No....these commentaries come from the Russian period of 1945 to the 1960s.  A lot of Russian men didn't come back from the war.....so a fair number of Russian women didn't find their 'guy'.

So here's the odd factor in this Putin 'military-operation' strategy....a fair number of conscripts (men) go to the war, and don't return.  Every week you waste in some adventure like this....you get closer to this major problem of demographics destroying your future capability for war.

Yes, you could wake up in twenty years....to realize that you really needed x-thousand young men to be conscripted and fight a future Russian military operation....yet only half those young men exist.  

In a way, Putin is doing a 'big' favor for world peace in the year 2050....because they won't be able to mount any serious war (if this operation goes on for another two months). 

It's a silly thing to think about.....but birth-rates matter.  

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