The Russians are introducing an email from PM Truss (now former PM) of the UK, which leads you to think it's a possibility.
Facts beyond this one single email? None.
If you asked me on a humble belief? I'm mostly of the belief that GAZPROM or Putin's government....did not conduct the destruction of the pipeline. Beyond that....there's probably over forty different groups or governments that might have been behind it.
I certainly don't think the German government (under orders by Scholz) did it.
Radical non-government groups in Germany? I could believe that scenario.
Non-government Ukrainians behind it? I could believe that scenario.
The only advantage for GAZPROM in this? Well....insurance money to be paid out. Beyond that.....no real advantage.
If the UK did do this? You'd have to put real proof on the table, then prepare for a lot of hostile feelings in Germany over this effort.
So I'm to the number one big question....with the damage done....will Nord Stream I or II ever be repaired? The GAZPROM folks have hinted that NS II can quickly (figure one to two months) be fixed. NS I? No one says much. Is NS II even approved for operation? No. Only NS I is approved by the Germans.
It's not life or death for the NS I/II to operate, but if you ever ended the 'war'.....resolving matters would help to bring cash flow back into the Russian economy. Getting the Chinese fixed as the replacement customers for natural gas? Maybe.....but that day is more than five years away....to get pipes placed from the sites to the China border. Most suggest it'd be at least 2030 before the new customers would be paying for their natural gas.
Finding some UK logic to destroy the pipe? It's just awful hard to find a good reason to get involved. Maybe a few of the conservative party elite members are buddy-buddy with the Oligarch crew of Russia. Would there be enough stupidity there to commit to some destruction plan, and do this as a 'favor' for someone?
If you did this as a military operation? You can figure more than a hundred Brit military guys would be 'in' on the plan and how it'd work. How would you keep this a secret? Or would you rig this to be a James Bond-like scheme, with just one or two ex-special agents.....to drop explosives on the pipes? The idea that it was just one James Bond-idiot....a bit unhinged....on his own mission? That scenario is just as good as any other idea presented.
This whole thing to drift around for years, with no one ever getting to the truth? Yeah, that's likely.
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