Sunday, October 25, 2020

Germany and Covid-19: 25 Oct 2020

 1.  227 German cities or districts are ID'ed as of today as 'hot-zones'.....meaning a serious amount of ban rules exist.

2.  12,754 new infection cases were reported for Saturday in Germany.  The trend line since early September?  Upward.  Statistically, I would imagine the 20k per day point will be hit by mid-November.  

3.  If you were looking for data to prove infections upon German bus-travel, railway-travel, or staying at hotels....there just isn't any data to prove that point.  On rare bus or train trips I've taken....everyone is masked-up and does a bit of sanitizer after leaving the vehicle.

4.  German city with highest infection rate for past seven days?  Berlin.  Since day one for the city, total number of identified infections listed: mid-7000 range.  Total deaths in the city since day one: 249.

5.  Using the RKI-data, for each ten German infected....they infect 14 new people.  

6.  Right now across Germany, 12k ICU beds are in use for the Corona folks requiring serious care.  Still empty and ready: 8k.  I noticed five days ago....an arrangement was made for a Netherlands border community....some Dutch folks were 'trucked' to a regional German hospital because the Dutch area was so overwhelmed.  Earlier in the year....empty ICU beds were offered to Italian folks as well.

German authorities also admitted that they've got a minimum of 10k more ICU beds ready....if they stop all elective-surgery situations (earlier in the year....they were halted entirely).  

ARD reported that presently, out of 1,203 ICU patients presently....only 533 are being ventilated (44-percent).

7.  Frankfurt Christmas market....fully cancelled.  Added ban rules in the city....absolutely no public alcohol consumption in any public place from 11 PM to 6 AM.  They aren't just talking about bars and clubs....they mean public parks, around the train station, and on the sidewalks themselves.

The idea that bars, clubs and pubs are having serious economic trouble?  There's no doubt that 2020 is a pretty crappy year for the business side of things.  

8.  600 protest folks gathered up in Frankfurt Saturday, under the banner of 'lateral thinking' which is a anti-Corona focus group.  They hype criticism upon all ban rules.  

Across Germany, I would suggest the skeptical crowd has reached some point where 15-to-20 percent of the general public feel that way.  If it were nicer weather....more would gather.  

9.  The odds of a shut-down (as done back in March/April/May?  I suspect some new phrase will be created....which equates to a 80-percent shut-down, and probably starts by mid-November for a sixty-day period.  

The chief problem here....there is some public expectation of a normal Christmas existing, and if you really screw down the holiday period.....harsh mental issues start to pop up (more suicides), and it's a negative period in very serious ways.  The suggestion of work situations triggering more infections?  No one has shown any dramatic data to make that point.  

No comments: