Thursday, October 29, 2020

Germany and Covid-19: 29 Oct 2020

1.  An over-the-counter Covid-anti-bodies test is now up for sale....59 Euro...via the shop 'DM'.  You do the sample, mail it into a lab (figure 12 to 36 hours later)....you are told if there are anti-bodies in your system.   It might shock some folks to find out that they've had a bout of Covid....without all the symptoms.

2.  As of last night, we had 12,945 new infections in a 24-hour period.  Nationally, since day one....we are at 10,196 deaths.

Locally, we had our 30th death since day one (city of 291k residents).  Guy was 56 years old and had a recent 'other' illness.  So you could say he was already in fragile health.

3.  Lot of bar/pub owners in the Hessen region are grumbling over the closure (for four weeks, starting Monday).  Some admit that with the spring shut-down....their cash-flow was already at a harsh position.  Some had to lessen tables/chairs to meet city sanitation rules....so a 100-seat pub was set for 40-to-50 seats max after that shut-down.

Some folks are now suggesting that the state itself needs to step in and put money on the table for the losses of the year.  They aren't talking about a one-for-one deal....but there has to be some 'help' in order for them to survive.

4.  Looking over the regional rules.....even tattoo studios got on the shut-down list.

5.  Finns conducted a test with particular dogs.  It seems that not only can dogs detect you having Covid-19 (meaning you are putting off some scent)....but they can even detect it five days before a test can stamp you 'positive'....which means some type of smell is occurring within your body, in that period of time.  

More tests to likely occur, but it begs a number of questions.

6.  UK test and study seems to suggest that your anti-bodies situation (after you complete a bout with Covid-19)....goes through a rapid downward period.  They didn't come out and say directly....but even if some vaccine is approved and everyone gets it....the effective nature of it is questionable.  You probably would have to repeat the vaccination within six months (maybe even less).  

7.  France likely to have shutdown-lite rules as well.  

8.  A credit agency in Germany is suggesting around 8,300 cafes, bars, and restaurants are at risk for bankruptcy.  That's roughly 15-percent of all operations across the entire nation.

Hard to see any state aid package coming to save the bulk of these.  Sad thing is that the state taxed these operations under normal operations before Covid-19.  In some way, they are 'owed' something for duty.  

9.  The RKI folks (the national experts on Covid-19)....are suggesting that it'll be probably around spring of 2022 before everyone is Germany is vaccinated for Covid-19.  If this was to be a often-repeated exercise?  It begs questions.

10.  Lot of harsh criticism being dumped via German Twitter over the shutdown-lite rules.   Some of the bans might reach legal challenge status, but I doubt that they will be overturned.  Some criticism already laid out....expecting this to go to the end of December.  Government expectation is that the new infection rate will be reversed....if it stays at same level or continues upward, I would suggest the extension very likely to absorb December as well.  

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