Monday, August 23, 2021

Olaf Scholz and the Odds of a Red-Red-Green Government

 Presently, it looks possible that the SPD Party will win the German election (26 Sep) and their guy (Olaf Scholz) will become Chancellor of Germany.

Lately, the question arises.....could he put together a coalition government of the SPD, Greens and Linke Party?

The general answer?

Presently, it looks like the SPD Party will max out at 24 to 25 percent of the vote.  The Greens?  It's looking like they will max at 17 percent of the vote.  The Linke Party will max at 7 percent.

Taking the optimum situation....this totals up to around 49 percent of the vote.  Taking the lesser situation....it totals near 47 to 48 percent.  In this scenario, it's not enough to have a leftist government coalition.

In the past, this question has been raised in previous elections, and a majority of German voters (even SPD voters) don't favor a left-left-left type coalition.  

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