Sunday, August 15, 2021

The 'You-Just-Don't-Know' Drama

 N-TV (commercial news in Germany) did a piece this morning, and laid out this idea. 

So, the DIW folks (the German Institute for Economic Research) came up with a data collection survey (mid July) and suggest that three-quarters of Germans between 18 and 59 years old....have achieved their first injection by that point.

Yeah, that is a bit different from what the RIK folks (Robert Koch Institute) say.  Their number presently (mid-August) is 63-percent (for all age groups).

So if DIW were correct (I won't go and suggest that), by this point a month later....you'd think that the German numbers would be near 80 to 82 percent (at least with the 18 to 59 year old group).

Could there be such a big discrepancy on the numbers?  You'd be talking about a 12-percent difference between the two groups....minimum.

When German businesses and commercial operations cite numbers....you generally trust them to the ninth-degree and they can cite evidence to back-up the situation.  In this case?  You'd think that as various state organizations did the inoculations....the daily report would have been generated and sent to some state office for data collection.

So this brings us to the dynamic of 'herd immunity', and the what-if scenario.....maybe 75-percent of Germany is already 'safe', and in the next four weeks...they'd easily reach 80-to-85 percent of the population?  

WELL, YOU DON'T KNOW.

It's serious business, but at the same time....somewhat amusing that the government is working hard to make life difficult, when they might have already achieved their dream scenario of 'herd immunity'.  

No comments: