Sunday, August 1, 2021

Less Than Happy Public Sentiment?

 It's not something you really want to drag out and openly discuss in Germany.

This past week, a poll was done.  For those not grasping this....when you vote in a German national election....you are voting for the party, and you might not really agree with the party's selection for their Chancellor candidate.  The poll asked Germans about the CDU's Larschet (as their Chancellor candidate).  The public, if they had any say over the matter....amounted to 13-percent of them accepting Laschet as their Chancellor....meaning 87-percent were in disagreement.

Yeah, if you sat there for a while, sipping a beer....this is a pretty lousy discussion item to get into.

This 13-percent number also means that probably half of CDU-voters are NOT enthusiastic about Laschet.  

Party-wise?  If you view both the CDU-CSU and SPD numbers....it's the lowest polling rate since 1947.  Adding the two groups up, they won't even clear 50-percent combined.

The odds of a 4th party required in a coalition government?  It just adds the thrill of a collapsed government occurring before 2025 (the next official national election).  I'd give it a 25-percent chance that at least one conflict will occur, and the downfall will be openly discussed.  

Blaming the CDU Party for this selection?  Well....the top level wanted a carbon-copy of Merkel, and they think Laschet will deliver that status.  The public?  I suspect they want a new beginning, and a new path....without the Merkel 'vision'.  

All of this shapes for a less-than-thrilling period starting in October, and going on for the next four years.  

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