With the PM resigning in Italy....there are six things to take out of this:
1. The next election was supposed to be June 2023. It will now be late September/early October 2022.
2. Five parties are likely to be the big players, and another 15 to get representation.
3. The real winner? Top vote party, who has to build a coalition of 50-percent or more. So you felt lucky with a 27-percent win....you now have to find one, two or three partners to reach 50-plus percent.
4. The Five-Star Movement? In the last election....they were a big deal. What'd I call them? A populist group.....with some fairly odd positions on different topics. Last election? They were up in the 30-percent range. Right now? 13-to-14 percent range.
5. Right now in polling? No one is really above the 25-percent level, and it appears the Liga folks (right-wing) and the Democratic Party (left-wing) will end up nearly equal positions in polling. I don't think either will partner up with the other. It's possible you might see the winner, with the number four, five and six parties. In simple terms.....a fairly weak and marginal position for the government to work.
6. Chief complaints? Recession, farming regulations, Covid regulations, and foreigners in Italy.
3 comments:
Hopefully the right wing female candidate will win and give a big 🖕 to the EU.
Maybe, but if they only take 25-percent of the vote....her ideas/programs will be marginalized because she has to form a coalition government. This is the chief problem with the coalition business....you reach a point where three or four parties have to be agreeable on forty different topics.
Yeah, that worked brilliantly for the UK. Nothing like screwing over the next generations to hide your tax avoidance!
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