Monday, August 5, 2024

2024 Thuringian State Election?

 Happens in four weeks.

Polling?  I tend to use the EU election results from 9 June.

There will be five 'winners' (no one else will cross the 5-percent minimum required to have seats in the state assembly).

AfD?  Probably in the 30.5-percent range.

CDU? 2nd place with 23-percent.

BWS, the new party?  15-percent.

SPD, with 8-percent.

Linke, with around 5.5-percent.

The coalition?  NO one will work with AfD, so I'll predict 30 days after the election....without a deal....the CDU (in 2nd place) goes to work and partners with the BWS folks and maybe the SPD.   

A lot of drama?  Yeah.  It'll be heavily discussed via public TV.

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